Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000195 0.000215 0.000237 0.000263 0.000291 0.000322 0.000359
2025-10-12 0.000157 0.000188 0.000223 0.000267 0.000321 0.000385 0.000469
2025-10-19 0.000132 0.000166 0.000208 0.000264 0.000338 0.000433 0.000564
2025-10-26 0.000117 0.000153 0.000200 0.000267 0.000359 0.000484 0.000670
2025-11-02 0.000103 0.000140 0.000190 0.000263 0.000370 0.000522 0.000761
2025-11-09 0.000094 0.000131 0.000183 0.000263 0.000384 0.000564 0.000862
2025-11-16 0.000084 0.000121 0.000174 0.000258 0.000391 0.000596 0.000951
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000112 0.000165 0.000252 0.000392 0.000619 0.001028
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000108 0.000163 0.000255 0.000411 0.000672 0.001162
2025-12-07 0.000068 0.000105 0.000162 0.000261 0.000432 0.000730 0.001314
2025-12-14 0.000063 0.000098 0.000155 0.000255 0.000435 0.000756 0.001409
2025-12-21 0.000057 0.000091 0.000146 0.000246 0.000428 0.000765 0.001471
2025-12-28 0.000054 0.000088 0.000145 0.000250 0.000449 0.000829 0.001660
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000086 0.000144 0.000255 0.000470 0.000897 0.001872
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000082 0.000140 0.000252 0.000479 0.000942 0.002040
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000079 0.000138 0.000255 0.000496 0.001007 0.002267
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000075 0.000133 0.000251 0.000502 0.001047 0.002443
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000072 0.000130 0.000251 0.000513 0.001101 0.002663
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000069 0.000126 0.000247 0.000516 0.001136 0.002842
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000065 0.000120 0.000240 0.000513 0.001157 0.002985
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000063 0.000120 0.000244 0.000534 0.001238 0.003316
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000062 0.000120 0.000249 0.000557 0.001331 0.003702
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000059 0.000115 0.000244 0.000557 0.001360 0.003901